MATH 280B: PROBABILITY (WINTER 2015)

HOMEWORK
Homework is from the textbook by Durrett.
Homework is due in class on Wednesdays.
Please hand in the starred problems.

Homework 1, due Wed Jan 14, 2015: 2.1.18, 3.1.2, 3.2.9, 3.2.11, *3.2.12, 3.2.13, *3.2.14, *3.2.15 (hint: use strong law of large numbers).
For solutions to the starred problems on homework assignment 1, click here. (You will need the username and password given out in class to access these.)

Homework 2, due Wed Jan 28, 2015: 2.1.8, *3.3.2(i), 3.3.4, 3.3.5, *3.3.7, 3.3.8, 3.3.9, 3.3.10, *3.3.14. (A hint for 3.3.14 will be given in class.)
For solutions to the starred problems on homework assignment 2, click here.

Homework 3, due Wed Feb 4, 2015: 3.3.23, *3.3.28, 3.4.1, *3.4.2, 3.4.5, 3.4.6, *3.4.7. (There appears to be a typo in 3.3.28. In the displayed equation (with two equalities), C lambda in two places should be C/lambda. This does not affect the main conclusion of the problem.)
For solutions to the starred problems on homework assignment 3, click here.

Homework 4, due Wed, Feb 11, 2015: 5.1.1, 5.1.6, 5.1.8, *5.1.9, *5.1.10, *5.1.11.
For solutions to the starred problems on homework assignment 4, click here.

Homework 5, due Wed Feb 25, 2015: 5.2.2, *5.2.5, *5.2.6, 5.2.8, *5.2.9, 5.3.13 (read the Galton-Watson example as well).
Extra problem: Suppose {G(n), n=0,1,2,...} and {F(n),n=0,1,2,...} are filtrations wiht G(n) contained in F(n) for each n. Supppose that {M(n), n=0,1,2,...} is a martingale with respect to {F(n),n=0,1,2, ...} and suppose M(n) is measurable with respect to G(n) for each n. Prove that {M(n),n=0,1,2,...} is a martingale with respect to {G(n),n=0,1,2,...}. Prove that the same is true if "martingale" is replaced with "submartingale" (or "supermartingale") in the above. Use this to show that if {M(n), F(n), n=0,1,2,...} is a (sub/super)martingale and T is a stopping time, then {M(min(n,T)), F(min(n,T)), n=0,1,2,...} is a (sub/super)martingale.
For solutions to the starred problems and the extra problem on homework assignment 5, click here.

Homework 6, due March 11, 2015. 5.4.4, 5.4.6, *5.4.8, *5.5.2, *5.5.8
For solutions to the starred problems, click here.


MIDTERM
There will be a midterm on Wednesday, March 4, 2015 in class. The midterm will test the material covered in class and related readings through Wed, Feb 25 and homework assignments 1-5. Please bring your student ID, a blue book or two, and pens/pencils to write with. No books or notes are allowed. You may not bring a calculator -- you will not need one. Make sure to justify your answers (credit will not be given for "inspired'' answers). Remember that part of each problem is to set it up and to arrive at the answer by a progression of logical steps. Please start each problem on a new page, write legibly, and put your name on your blue book.
There will be a Q&A problem session given by the TA on Tuesday, March 3, 1-1.50pm in AP&M 5402.
Solutions to the midterm can be found here.